Should you be a keen football punter then without doubt you’ll have sifted through multitudes of online soccer tipping websites to find out what services are out there. Frankly, it’s challenging to avoid misleading terms like ‘sure bet,’ ‘banker,’ ‘dead cert’ or ‘guaranteed winner.’ Many tipsters actually incorporate these terms into the URL of their sites in the hope of increasing the number of sign ups. As being a punter and tipster this hugely frustrates me. Without opening up the cans of worms which are the laws of mathematics and statistics, the basic indisputable simple truth is that there is no such thing as a sure outcome in soccer, or sport. If a dead cert outcome did exist there would be no bookmakers in operation to cover our bets. Sometimes I read the introductory few paragraphs which insist that the Vegus168sure possesses a unique secret method for picking guaranteed winners. I believe that it should be illegal to make such misleading claims.
Having a lot more than twenty years of trials and tribulations as a football or ‘soccer’ punter, I can categorically inform you that the entire perception of a dead cert is not merely false, but is within itself a contradiction. If the outcome of a particular soccer match was a guarantee, then surely there would be no requirement for the teams to perform battle for ninety minutes. Also, bookmakers would be clinically insane to cover bets on the game whose result was a certainty. I realise that I’m possibly being facetious inside my last few sentences, but it’s scary to note the volume of reasonably intelligent people that will believe anything that’s developed in print by way of a so-called ‘expert’.
After I began providing ideas to the public via my website, I incorporated a ‘Banker Section’ every week. Now, the thought of this section ended up being to suggest that, having done hours of research and analysis on various games, I truly couldn’t see any other outcome than, for instance, a home win. When a game from your Banker Section resulted in a shock outcome, I’d suffer as both a tipster and a punter. It effectively made my tipping skills seem incompetent to some my members, not forgetting I’d likewise have personally had a sizable bet on the game. Two games still stick inside my mind and carry back uncomfortable memories.
April 10 2010, Scottish Cup: Glasgow Celtic – 2 Ross County.
Premier League giants Celtic were unceremoniously dumped out from the cup by First Division side Ross County, completing one of the greatest upsets in Scottish football history. Many soccer accumulator or multi-bets were subsequently torn up in disgust by outraged punters.
February 21 2010, Dutch League: PSV Eindhoven 1 – 1 Sparta Rotterdam.
This video game had been priced as low as 1.09 by bookmakers for any home win, such was the ‘certainty’ in the outcome. PSV had won eleven league games in a row in Eindhoven and were facing a Sparta side who had already lost twelve with their away games that season, and who also proceeded to become relegated. To include insult to injury, Sparta scored their equalizing goal three minutes into buharh time.
Huge upset results like these obviously ruin accumulator bets, but more significantly they highlight because you can never ever be certain about the result of a soccer bet.
Shortly afterward I have done away using the ‘Banker Section’ of my website and instead I use a ranking system between 1 and 10. The best ranking I assign to the selection is 9/10, as 10/10 equates to 100%, and also to predict a football contest with 100% certainty is, as discussed above, not realistic or possible. The more effort and time you set into invaluable research and analysis, the much better chance you may have of selecting a winner. There exists, however, no magic formula for predicting huge upsets which happen again and again even within the most unlikely scenarios.